{"id":6797,"date":"2007-06-01T12:09:03","date_gmt":"2007-06-01T12:09:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1\/import\/?p=797"},"modified":"2007-06-01T12:09:03","modified_gmt":"2007-06-01T12:09:03","slug":"comment-prevoir-le-resultat-d-une-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/comment-prevoir-le-resultat-d-une-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Comment pr\u00e9voir le r\u00e9sultat d&rsquo;une \u00e9lection?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>C&rsquo;est tr\u00e8s simple&nbsp;: il suffit de <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nber.org\/digest\/jun07\/w12660.html\" hreflang=\"fr\">regarder les candidats \u00e0 la t\u00e9l\u00e9vision, sans le son, pendant 10 secondes<\/a>. Diverses exp\u00e9riences ont montr\u00e9 que cela permettait aux spectateurs de pr\u00e9voir 58% des r\u00e9sultats; regarder les candidats en \u00e9coutant le son r\u00e9duit ce pouvoir de pr\u00e9vision aux alentours de 50%, c&rsquo;est \u00e0 dire le r\u00e9sultat obtenu si les spectateurs pariaient au hasard. Ce taux de pr\u00e9visions exactes de 58% est sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 ce que toutes les autres m\u00e9thodes de pr\u00e9vision des r\u00e9sultats \u00e9lectoraux sont capables de fournir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>C&rsquo;est tr\u00e8s simple&nbsp;: il suffit de regarder les candidats \u00e0 la t\u00e9l\u00e9vision, sans le son, pendant 10 secondes. Diverses exp\u00e9riences ont montr\u00e9 que cela permettait aux spectateurs de pr\u00e9voir 58% des r\u00e9sultats; regarder les candidats en \u00e9coutant le son r\u00e9duit ce pouvoir de pr\u00e9vision aux alentours de 50%, c&rsquo;est \u00e0 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/comment-prevoir-le-resultat-d-une-election\/\" title=\"Comment pr\u00e9voir le r\u00e9sultat d&rsquo;une \u00e9lection?\">(Lire la suite&#8230;)<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":59424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ecoblabla"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6797"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6797\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/econoclaste.eu\/econoclaste\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}